Today’s Chamber Corner features insights and observations from noted business guru, Dr. Jerry Osteryoung, Business professor at FSU, and Executive Director of the Jim Moran Institute for Global Entrepreneurship. Dr. Osteryoung has worked with over 5000 CEO’s at companies of all sizes, and brings practical expertise to today’s real business challenges.
This week Jerry offers some thoughts about "Surviving in today’s extreme business climate".
He begins his observations with a quote from Bill Gates, Founder of Microsoft: Gates says, "The first rule of any technology used in a business is that automation applied to an efficient operation will magnify the efficiency. The second is that automation applied to an inefficient operation will magnify the inefficiency".
With gasoline hitting four dollars a gallon and no end to the increase in sight, it’s time to start thinking about the structural changes that we are going to experience in our economy and in our businesses. With the exception of the internet revolution, this is one of the most dramatic changes to come along in the last 50 years.
A recent report showed that if the current rate of oil consumption in China continues, they will need all of the world’s fuel in the next ten years. Additionally, production and refinery capacity is going to further limit the availability of fuel, meaning higher prices as well.
Is it practical to believe that fuel prices will ever go down to two or even three dollars a gallon? No, because the demand for this commodity is increasing exponentially. It would not be surprising to see fuel at five dollars a gallon by year end, especially if the dollar continues to do poorly against other currencies.
Not only is this a very big challenge for our country, but it is also an immense challenge for each and every business. One major change that we’re going to see as a result of these conditions is more and more shopping on the internet. People are going to opt for this alternative as a way to avoid using gas. Of course, people will still have to shop for items like food; but they will use the internet much more in order to combat higher fuel prices and maintain their standard of living.
What this means for you is that your business is going to have to step up your web site. An okay web site is not going to cut it. To prosper in tomorrow’s economy you must have a great web site that clearly demonstrates your products and services. It must also be easy to navigate and transact business. Users will simply fly by your site if it is not dynamic and relevant to their needs. In light of this, for many businesses it would be very prudent to shift as many advertising dollars as possible to the internet.
Dr. Osteryoung says a second trend we can expect to see is telecommuting becoming the norm rather than the exception. With high fuel prices and congested roads, businesses will simply not be able to recruit or afford workers that have to commute. Businesses will have to design the workplace so that more of their workers will not have to come into the office everyday. Of course, mass transportation will eventually fill this void, but this is going to take a long time to develop.
Another major change coming is new housing development growing up instead of spreading out. In the past, new development moved away from the city core, but now it will have to come back to the center to provide housing for people that can no longer afford to live in the suburbs.
This will be especially troubling for the many workers who moved further out to get inexpensive land for their houses. The commute was acceptable when fuel costs were low; however, now that paradigm has changed, and these workers are getting caught in an economic squeeze. They are going to be stuck, both unable to live out of town due to fuel costs, and unable to take on the expense of moving.
On the cost side of the equation, another area that warrants examination is transportation for your materials or products. Now is the time to take a look at ways that you can reduce your shipping costs. Start by looking for vendors or resources that are closer to home, thereby reducing your cost of doing business.
Finally, each and every business will have to change the way it thinks about fuel. Businesses will have to limit travel, opting to conduct more meetings using video conferencing technology. Smaller vehicles will have to become the rule rather than the exception. Bottom line: each business will have to redesign itself assuming that fuel hits $7 a gallon.
As the philanthropist, Jim Moran, who funded the Jim Moran Institute, said, "The future belongs to those that plan for it." There is a solution to this fuel price issue, and the answer is technology. Will this be a quick fix? No, but it will come within the next seven to ten years.
It’s time to take action. Go out and think about how you can offset the increasing fuel costs that will have a direct impact on your business. Do not be satisfied with minor tweaking here and there. The scope of this issue demands a major structural change – a reengineering of each and every business. It will be hard, but you can do it.
Our thanks to Dr. Jerry Osteryoung, Business professor at FSU, and Executive Director of Jim Moran Institute for Global Entrepreneurship for those practical and timely words of wisdom.
JULY FIRST FRIDAY
TO BE ON SECOND FRIDAY
Because the first Friday of July falls on July 4th this year, our July First Friday Power Breakfast will be on July 11th, the second Friday of July. I am pleased to announce that Dr. Osteryoung will be our featured speaker and he will be expanding on the topic of today’s broadcast. He will tackle the topic of "Strategies for Surviving and Thriving in a Recessionary Environment". This will be a great "hands-on" follow up message to the high level economic perspectives offered by Dr. Malcolm Gillis at our May First Friday Breakfast. Expect lots of practical tips and techniques from Dr. Osteryoung for strengthening your business. Sponsored by David Melvin Engineering, this promises to be an informative and timely message. Mark your calendar now for the SECOND FRIDAY in July. We’ll see you then.